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    Preparing for the storm

    Water Closet
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    • JaredBuschJ
      JaredBusch
      last edited by

      @DustinB3403 and this is in regards to sustained winds at these speeds. not gusts. that is a huge long term difference.

      Also, note the terms used. "Significant" versus "Catastrophic." These terms were not chosen at random.

      DustinB3403D 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 3
      • DustinB3403D
        DustinB3403 @JaredBusch
        last edited by

        @JaredBusch said in Preparing for the storm:

        @DustinB3403 and this is in regards to sustained winds at these speeds. not gusts. that is a huge long term difference.

        Also, note the terms used. "Significant" versus "Catastrophic." These terms were not chosen at random.

        Exactly, hurricanes are always measured in sustained winds.

        So this just means it's that much worse to chose to ride it out.

        IRJI 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
        • IRJI
          IRJ @DustinB3403
          last edited by

          @DustinB3403 said in Preparing for the storm:

          @JaredBusch said in Preparing for the storm:

          @DustinB3403 and this is in regards to sustained winds at these speeds. not gusts. that is a huge long term difference.

          Also, note the terms used. "Significant" versus "Catastrophic." These terms were not chosen at random.

          Exactly, hurricanes are always measured in sustained winds.

          So this just means it's that much worse to chose to ride it out.

          I am not sure what you mean.....

          Wind is the easiest part to measure of a hurricane, but often storm surge and flooding can be even worse.

          DustinB3403D 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
          • DustinB3403D
            DustinB3403 @IRJ
            last edited by

            @IRJ said in Preparing for the storm:

            @DustinB3403 said in Preparing for the storm:

            @JaredBusch said in Preparing for the storm:

            @DustinB3403 and this is in regards to sustained winds at these speeds. not gusts. that is a huge long term difference.

            Also, note the terms used. "Significant" versus "Catastrophic." These terms were not chosen at random.

            Exactly, hurricanes are always measured in sustained winds.

            So this just means it's that much worse to chose to ride it out.

            I am not sure what you mean.....

            Wind is the easiest part to measure of a hurricane, but often storm surge and flooding can be even worse.

            Winds cause the surge and flooding though, granted the surge may carry more material a greater distance. But all you need to happen is a branch to fall on your car because of the wind and hurt / kill you or your family.

            I'd be leaving.

            IRJI 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
            • david.wieseD
              david.wiese
              last edited by

              current track: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/153536.shtml?5-daynl#contents

              NHC is still tracking this as at least a cat 3 hurricane through Friday.

              IRJI 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
              • IRJI
                IRJ @david.wiese
                last edited by

                @david.wiese said in Preparing for the storm:

                current track: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/153536.shtml?5-daynl#contents

                NHC is still tracking this as at least a cat 3 hurricane through Friday.

                Yeah the forecast is actually looking better. Earlier models had the eye making landfall and now it seems like it will stay offshore a bit.

                david.wieseD 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                • david.wieseD
                  david.wiese @IRJ
                  last edited by david.wiese

                  @IRJ The models are still not in agreement. The GFS (American model and less accurate) and the ECMWF (European model (more accurate and pinpointed superstorm sandy)) are not 100%. The GFS has the storm pushing further east and further up the coast, the ecmwf has it pushing west and making landfall in florida.

                  edit: I should add that this all depends on the low that is moving through the great plains right now. If that moves faster then the storm stays further off the coast, if it slows down (or stays at its current pace) the storm will make landfall further west.

                  I found this cool weather site (http://preview.weather.gov/edd/) where you can turn the different layers on and off. Such as the current hazards (across the US) and see any current tropical storms (tracks and intensity).

                  1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 1
                  • IRJI
                    IRJ @DustinB3403
                    last edited by

                    @DustinB3403 said in Preparing for the storm:

                    I'd be leaving.

                    It's not an easy decision to make. Hurricanes are unpredictable. It is possible we could only get 40MPH winds (although unlikely). It is very possible we only get 70-90MPH winds (current forecast is calling for this. It is also somewhat possible we get the eye of the storm and could see up to 150MPH.

                    It is hard to make a decision based on forecasts because they change and the slightest shifting of the storm makes a a huge difference. If you leave and we only get 70MPH winds, then you lose the ability to make repairs during the storm (causing more total damage), looting becomes a real issue, and it is much easier to protect against flooding when you are home. You can move things and place sandbags in strategic places.

                    DustinB3403D 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                    • DustinB3403D
                      DustinB3403 @IRJ
                      last edited by

                      @IRJ I feel you're concern, I do.

                      I haven't been through hurricanes (at least none that I was aware of). Just be careful, and don't wait to long to leave if you have to.

                      1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 1
                      • IRJI
                        IRJ
                        last edited by

                        It is humbling seeing this huge storm coming, you know where the storm is and when it is coming, but you don't exactly know where it is going to end up.

                        DustinB3403D dafyreD 2 Replies Last reply Reply Quote 0
                        • DustinB3403D
                          DustinB3403 @IRJ
                          last edited by

                          @IRJ said in Preparing for the storm:

                          It is humbling seeing this huge storm coming

                          That's what she said...

                          GAH hahah sorry, had too.

                          1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 1
                          • dafyreD
                            dafyre @IRJ
                            last edited by

                            @IRJ said in Preparing for the storm:

                            It is humbling seeing this huge storm coming, you know where the storm is and when it is coming, but you don't exactly know where it is going to end up.

                            If there was a mandatory evacuation, does that mean that everybody is staying home, or are they already running for their lives?

                            DustinB3403D 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                            • coliverC
                              coliver
                              last edited by

                              We went through a category 2 when we lived in Georgia. Coolest noise I've ever heard.

                              1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                              • DustinB3403D
                                DustinB3403 @dafyre
                                last edited by

                                @dafyre I would assume that the police are in peoples faces, guns out, making them leave.

                                But you know, this is no different than any other day in the south.... so I'm sure there will be people who stay, and then beg and plead for help when the surge is at the second story of their house...

                                1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                                • IRJI
                                  IRJ
                                  last edited by

                                  Welp, flooding is already starting to be an issue and we haven't even seen any rain from Matthew yet. It has been unusually wet here the last week and almost everyday we have seen rain going sideways.

                                  Here is the result of today's storm and it is still raining...

                                  0_1475610370422_download_20161004_152906.jpg

                                  dafyreD 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 1
                                  • DustinB3403D
                                    DustinB3403
                                    last edited by

                                    Um is that stop sign normally short, or is that already a diving pool?

                                    IRJI 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                                    • IRJI
                                      IRJ @DustinB3403
                                      last edited by

                                      @DustinB3403 said in Preparing for the storm:

                                      Um is that stop sign normally short, or is that already a diving pool?

                                      It is a normal size stop sign.

                                      DustinB3403D 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                                      • dafyreD
                                        dafyre @IRJ
                                        last edited by

                                        @IRJ said in Preparing for the storm:

                                        Welp, flooding is already starting to be an issue and we haven't even seen any rain from Matthew yet. It has been unusually wet here the last week and almost everyday we have seen rain going sideways.

                                        Here is the result of today's storm and it is still raining...

                                        0_1475610370422_download_20161004_152906.jpg

                                        Just add Pontoons to your house and car, and you'll be fine. 8-)

                                        1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 2
                                        • DustinB3403D
                                          DustinB3403 @IRJ
                                          last edited by

                                          @IRJ Normal for NY is 8 or 10 feet, so that thing is that tall, and already there is that much water...

                                          . . . you sure you want to stick this one through?

                                          1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 1
                                          • zuphzuphZ
                                            zuphzuph Banned
                                            last edited by

                                            alt text

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